Skip to main content

The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)

Table 4 Difference dynamic panel estimation results (Arellano and Bond 1991 difference GMM approach)

From: Determinants of current account imbalance in the global economy: a dynamic panel analysis

 

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

Developed

Emerging

Developing

Full sample

Lag CAB (% of GDP)

0.752***

0.396***

0.602***

0.420***

(0.026)

(0.006)

(0.061)

(0.0007)

Real GDP growth rate

−0.174***

0.627***

−0.049***

0.383***

(0.015)

(0.049)

(0.012)

(0.002)

∆ REER

−0.019***

−0.046***

−0.0005

−0.0007

(0.005)

(0.006)

(0.001)

(0.0006)

Commodity price index

−0.003

0.01**

0.007***

0.009***

(0.004)

(0.004)

(0.002)

(0.0004)

Net foreign assets (% of GDP)

1.502

−8.069***

1.432**

−2.192***

(1.612)

(1.817)

(0.582)

(0.10)

Openness of trade

0.022*

0.096***

0.006**

0.045***

(0.019)

(0.02)

(0.008)

(0.002)

de jure capital openness

−0.321

−2.576

−0.391

−1.558**

(3.352)

(2.443)

(4.472)

(0.313)

Exchange rate stability index

2.171*

−1.171**

−1.177*

−1.767*

(1.810)

(1.821)

(1.672)

(0.206)

Sargan test (p value)

0.181

0.174

0.183

0.212

Hansen J test (p value)

0.213

0.197

0.206

0.251

A–B test AR(1) (p value)

0.042

0.021

0.001

0.003

A–B test AR(2) (p value)

0.383

0.382

0.390

0.377

Observations

837

992

1457

3286

Number of countries

27

32

47

106

  1. Dependent variable is current account balance (% of GDP)
  2. Standard errors in parentheses
  3. *** Significant at 1 %; ** significant at 5 %; * significant at 10 %