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The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)

Table 3 Key macroeconomic and trade results from the simulations.

From: Border adjustments under unilateral carbon pricing: the case of Australian carbon tax

 

NBA

BAE

BAI

BAP

BAEI

Carbon tax (A$/tCO2)

23

23

23

23

23

Real GDP

− 0.53

− 0.41

− 0.54

− 0.42

− 0.42

Aggregate employment

− 0.83

− 0.65

− 0.84

− 0.65

− 0.66

Export volume

− 4.98

− 4.42

− 5.07

− 4.48

− 4.5

Import volume

0.80

0.87

0.75

0.83

0.82

Export price

− 0.73

− 0.70

− 0.73

− 0.70

− 0.70

Import price

− 1.25

− 1.16

− 1.26

− 1.17

− 1.17

Terms of trade

0.53

0.47

0.54

0.47

0.48

Nominal exchange rate

− 1.25

− 1.16

− 1.26

− 1.17

− 1.17

Real devaluation

− 1.28

− 1.18

− 1.30

− 1.19

− 1.20

Equivalent variation (A$ m.)

5066.9

5264.1

5058.9

5498.2

5256.9

  1. (1) All projections are in percentage changes from the base period except the equivalent variation (EV). (2) Export price and import price are measured in terms of domestic currency terms