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The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)

Table 4 Infrastructure stocks and economic growth: panel regression analysis

From: Mexico’s economic infrastructure: international benchmark and its impact on growth

 

Endogenous instruments

Exogenous instrument: urban population

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

GMM system 5 years, t = 11

GMM system 6 years, t = 9

GMM system 10 years, t = 5

GMM system 5 years, t = 11

GMM system 6 years, t = 9

GMM system 10 years, t = 5

Lag output per capita (logs)

− 0.116***

− 0.188***

− 0.394***

− 0.0821***

− 0.178***

− 0.381***

(0.000)

(0.000)

(0.000)

(0.000)

(0.000)

(0.000)

Infrastructure index

0.0862***

0.102***

0.250***

0.0804***

0.117***

0.246***

(0.000)

(0.000)

(0.000)

(0.000)

(0.000)

(0.000)

Human capital

− 0.0204

0.0221

0.0773

− 0.0255

0.0188*

0.0817

 

(0.114)

(0.135)

(0.519)

(0.051)

(0.046)

(0.483)

Financial depth

0.0621***

0.0909***

0.238***

0.0627***

0.0911***

0.230***

 

(0.000)

(0.000)

(0.001)

(0.000)

(0.000)

(0.000)

Trade openness

− 0.165***

− 0.107***

− 0.410*

− 0.242***

− 0.0640*

− 0.381*

(0.000)

(0.000)

(0.031)

(0.000)

(0.015)

(0.032)

Government burden

− 0.0701*

− 0.0726**

− 0.0761

− 0.105**

− 0.0621***

− 0.102

(0.017)

(0.002)

(0.585)

(0.001)

(0.000)

(0.432)

Inflation

0.0000133

0.000284***

0.0000181

− 0.0000143

0.000304***

0.000104

 

(0.448)

(0.000)

(0.974)

(0.511)

(0.000)

(0.833)

Terms of trade shocks

0.0859***

0.142***

0.278

0.0721*

0.161***

0.330

(0.000)

(0.000)

(0.293)

(0.023)

(0.000)

(0.101)

Governance

0.0191***

0.0222***

-0.0180

0.0105*

0.00927*

-0.0192

 

(0.000)

(0.000)

(0.461)

(0.029)

(0.026)

(0.426)

Observations

500

402

247

500

402

247

Groups

70

70

70

70

70

70

No. instruments

90

68

31

110

80

32

Specification tests

Hansen test

0.888

0.298

0.425

0.997

0.624

0.507

First-order correlation

0.180

0.030

0.211

0.146

0.035

0.207

Second-order correlation

0.022

0.127

0.065

0.022

0.147

0.060

  1. Using different estimation techniques and sample periods
  2. Dependent variable: growth of GDP per capita
  3. Sample of 96 countries, 1960–2014, different year averages
  4. P values in parentheses
  5. p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001