Food security in China at 2050: a global CGE exercise

Journal of Economic Structures

The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)

Table 1 Simulation description

Simulation block	Simulation	Meat sectors	Rice sector	Wheat sector	Grain sectors^a
Tariff adjustment and free trade agreement block	MTR	Remove tariff
	GTR				Remove tariff
	GTI				Increase tariff by 50%
	CAM	Remove tariff for meat from Australia
	CKM	Korea removes tariff for meat from China
Government mandated growth rate	MRG		Mandated growth rate is 18.34% p.a^b
Government mandated growth rate	MWG			Mandated growth rate is 18.34% p.a

^aGrain sectors include wheat, rice, and other grain sectors in the GTAP database
^bIn the 12th Five-Year Plan, the government sets the grain production target as 540 million tonnes in 2015; therefore, the mandated grain growth rate is 18.34% per year during the period from 2011 to 2015. Since rice and wheat both are important grain products for China, two simulations (for rice and wheat) are undertaken in the study