The impact of Trans-Pacific Partnership agreement on the Canadian economy

Journal of Economic Structures

The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)

Table 2 Sectoral output growth due to tariff simulation and technological upgradation at 2030 compared to BAU 2030 (with USA as TPP member)

Sector	Tariff reduction		Technological upgradation
Sector	Scenario 2	Scenario 3	Scenario 4
1. Crops and cereals	0.47	− 0.03	− 2.06
2. Vegetable, fruits and nuts	0.49	0.19	− 0.73
3. Other crops	− 0.47	0.30	− 6.52
4. Animal products	3.10	− 1.53	15.75
5. Forestry	− 0.28	0.33	8.87
6. Fishing	4.18	− 1.52	21.22
7. Oil and gas	− 0.22	0.10	− 2.55
8. Coal and other minerals	− 0.44	0.25	− 2.56
9. Vegetable oils and fats	0.37	0.21	− 1.99
10. Other food products, beverages and tobacco	8.63	− 4.68	42.75
11. Textiles and apparel	− 0.66	− 0.42	− 6.93
12. Leather products	− 0.96	1.13	− 9.81
13. Wood products	− 0.28	0.42	15.14
14. Paper products	0.05	0.06	0.09
15. Petroleum and coal products	− 0.05	0.03	0.43
16. Chemicals, rubber and plastics	− 0.85	0.61	2.15
17. Mineral products	0.29	− 0.05	3.01
18. Iron and Steel and non-metallic mineral products	− 1.42	0.78	− 2.37
19. Metal products	− 0.27	0.27	− 1.18
20. Transport equipment	− 0.91	0.59	− 6.33
21. Electronic equipment	− 1.51	0.83	− 13.77
22. Machinery and equipment nec.	− 0.04	− 0.01	0.30
23. Miscellaneous manufacturing	− 1.39	0.94	18.64
24. Electricity, gas and water supply	0.02	− 0.02	2.42
25. Construction	0.88	− 0.35	9.50
26. Trade, transport and communication	0.48	− 0.32	5.45
27. Financial services	0.36	− 0.24	4.07
28. Other services	0.48	− 0.35	5.54
Total	0.48	− 0.27	5.52