The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)
Table 3 Sectoral output growth due to tariff simulation and technological upgradation at 2030 compared to BAU 2030 (without USA as TPP member)
From: The impact of Trans-Pacific Partnership agreement on the Canadian economy
Sector | Tariff reduction | Technological upgradation | |
|---|---|---|---|
Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 | Scenario 4 | |
1. Crops and cereals | 0.21 | − 0.03 | − 1.30 |
2. Vegetable, fruits and nuts | 0.32 | 0.13 | − 0.82 |
3. Other crops | − 0.31 | 0.20 | − 1.12 |
4. Animal products | 2.02 | − 1.04 | 2.56 |
5. Forestry | − 0.18 | 0.22 | 4.56 |
6. Fishing | 2.72 | − 1.03 | 0.53 |
7. Oil and gas | − 0.14 | 0.07 | − 0.42 |
8. Coal and other minerals | − 0.29 | 0.17 | − 1.15 |
9. Vegetable oils and fats | 0.24 | 0.14 | − 1.89 |
10. Other food products, beverages and tobacco | 5.61 | − 3.18 | 5.55 |
11. Textiles and apparel | − 0.43 | − 0.29 | − 3.71 |
12. Leather products | − 0.62 | 0.77 | 0.14 |
13. Wood products | − 0.18 | 0.29 | 12.81 |
14. Paper products | 0.03 | 0.04 | − 1.77 |
15. Petroleum and coal products | − 0.03 | 0.02 | − 0.13 |
16. Chemicals, rubber and plastics | − 0.55 | 0.41 | 3.00 |
17. Mineral products | 0.19 | − 0.03 | 1.40 |
18. Iron and Steel and non-metallic mineral products | − 0.92 | 0.53 | 0.73 |
19. Metal products | − 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.15 |
20. Transport equipment | − 0.59 | 0.40 | 0.59 |
21. Electronic equipment | − 0.98 | 0.56 | − 11.87 |
22. Machinery and equipment nec. | − 0.03 | − 0.01 | − 2.90 |
23. Miscellaneous manufacturing | − 0.90 | 0.64 | 22.12 |
24. Electricity, gas and water supply | 0.01 | − 0.01 | − 1.29 |
25. Construction | 0.57 | − 0.24 | 2.49 |
26. Trade, transport and communication | 0.31 | − 0.22 | 0.20 |
27. Financial services | 0.23 | − 0.16 | − 1.43 |
28. Other services | 0.31 | − 0.24 | 0.44 |
Total | 0.37 | − 0.18 | 2.94 |