The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)
Table 4 Sectoral export growth due to tariff simulation and technological upgradation at 2030 compared to BAU 2030 (USA as TPP member)
From: The impact of Trans-Pacific Partnership agreement on the Canadian economy
Sector | Tariff reduction | Technological upgradation | |
|---|---|---|---|
Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 | ||
1. Crops and cereals | − 2.14 | 1.12 | 1.15 |
2. Vegetable, fruits and nuts | − 0.05 | 0.57 | 0.03 |
3. Other crops | − 1.90 | 0.81 | 0.28 |
4. Animal products | 1.21 | 2.93 | 7.98 |
5. Forestry | − 0.72 | 0.18 | − 0.82 |
6. Fishing | − 1.18 | 1.03 | 2.06 |
7. Oil and gas | − 0.24 | 0.10 | − 0.93 |
8. Coal and other minerals | − 0.10 | − 0.71 | − 0.76 |
9. Vegetable oils and fats | − 1.73 | 1.34 | − 0.83 |
10. Other food products, beverages and tobacco | 39.40 | 4.08 | 8.59 |
11. Textiles and apparel | − 2.35 | 1.92 | 0.33 |
12. Leather products | − 3.06 | 3.06 | 5.10 |
13. Wood products | − 0.80 | 0.91 | 37.56 |
14. Paper products | − 1.52 | 0.76 | − 4.00 |
15. Petroleum and coal products | − 0.30 | 0.14 | − 0.74 |
16. Chemicals, rubber and plastics | − 1.53 | 1.03 | 7.35 |
17. Mineral products | − 1.59 | 0.84 | − 3.68 |
18. Iron and Steel and non-metallic mineral products | − 1.53 | 0.67 | 2.46 |
19. Metal products | − 2.33 | 1.21 | − 2.58 |
20. Transport equipment | − 1.24 | 1.10 | 9.05 |
21. Electronic equipment | − 2.80 | 1.44 | 16.35 |
22. Machinery and equipment nec. | − 2.44 | 1.36 | − 2.88 |
23. Miscellaneous manufacturing | − 2.17 | 1.39 | 43.46 |
24. Electricity, gas and water supply | − 1.54 | 0.85 | − 4.55 |
25. Construction | − 1.24 | 0.62 | − 2.48 |
26. Trade, transport and communication | − 1.40 | 0.93 | − 3.11 |
27. Financial services | − 1.46 | 0.78 | − 4.70 |
28. Other services | − 1.45 | 0.76 | − 4.10 |
Total | 0.26 | 0.91 | 5.21 |