The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)
Table 5 Sectoral export growth due to tariff simulation and technological upgradation at 2030 compared to BAU 2030 (without USA as TPP member)
From: The impact of Trans-Pacific Partnership agreement on the Canadian economy
Sector | Tariff reduction | Technological upgradation | |
|---|---|---|---|
Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 | Scenario 4 | |
1. Crops and cereals | − 0.97 | 1.51 | 1.55 |
2. Vegetable, fruits and nuts | 0.00 | − 9.80 | 0.16 |
3. Other crops | − 0.88 | 3.63 | 1.26 |
4. Animal products | 4.43 | − 0.44 | 10.31 |
5. Forestry | − 0.68 | − 0.04 | 0.18 |
6. Fishing | 0.38 | 0.67 | 2.01 |
7. Oil and gas | − 0.16 | 0.03 | − 0.53 |
8. Coal and other minerals | − 0.07 | 0.35 | − 0.57 |
9. Vegetable oils and fats | − 0.75 | 0.08 | − 0.04 |
10. Other food products, beverages and tobacco | − 0.62 | − 13.58 | − 3.01 |
11. Textiles and apparel | − 1.45 | 6.68 | 1.15 |
12. Leather products | − 1.91 | 1.26 | 2.11 |
13. Wood products | − 0.97 | 0.49 | 45.56 |
14. Paper products | − 0.59 | 0.24 | − 1.28 |
15. Petroleum and coal products | − 0.19 | 0.03 | − 0.21 |
16. Chemicals, rubber and plastics | − 3.31 | − 1.11 | 15.89 |
17. Mineral products | − 0.99 | 0.16 | − 0.66 |
18. Iron and Steel and non-metallic mineral products | 7.75 | 1.08 | 6.33 |
19. Metal products | − 1.49 | − 0.02 | 0.03 |
20. Transport equipment | − 0.35 | 0.83 | 6.81 |
21. Electronic equipment | − 1.72 | 0.75 | 8.46 |
22. Machinery and equipment nec | − 1.30 | − 0.45 | 0.94 |
23. Miscellaneous manufacturing | − 2.95 | − 1.43 | 59.16 |
24. Electricity, gas and water supply | − 0.95 | 0.29 | − 1.57 |
25. Construction | − 0.79 | 0.10 | − 0.42 |
26. Trade, transport and communication | − 0.87 | 0.32 | − 1.06 |
27. Financial services | − 0.91 | 0.29 | − 1.75 |
28. Other services | − 0.91 | 0.24 | − 1.32 |
Total | 0.20 | − 0.03 | 4.10 |