The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)
Table 6 Sectoral import growth due to tariff simulation and technological upgradation at 2030 compared to BAU 2030 (USA as TPP member)
From: The impact of Trans-Pacific Partnership agreement on the Canadian economy
Sector | Tariff reduction | Technological upgradation | |
|---|---|---|---|
Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 | Scenario 4 | |
1. Crops and cereals | − 9.77 | − 9.07 | − 8.695 |
2. Vegetable, fruits and nuts | 4.72 | 3.892 | 4.604 |
3. Other crops | − 3.38 | − 7.446 | − 6.993 |
4. Animal products | − 6.88 | − 5.72 | − 2.81 |
5. Forestry | − 9.1 | − 6.902 | − 6.181 |
6. Fishing | − 5.17 | − 5.977 | − 4.148 |
7. Oil and gas | − 7.733 | − 7.73 | − 7.713 |
8. Coal and other minerals | − 7.306 | − 7.262 | − 7.33 |
9. Vegetable oils and fats | − 7.416 | − 7.565 | − 6.896 |
10. Other food products, beverages and tobacco | 2.827 | 3.389 | 5.014 |
11. Textiles and apparel | 38.676 | 38.325 | 42.638 |
12. Leather products | 11.486 | 11.558 | 12.244 |
13. Wood products | − 3.448 | − 3.536 | − 2.373 |
14. Paper products | − 5.424 | − 5.51 | − 4.849 |
15. Petroleum and coal products | 1.341 | 1.358 | 1.52 |
16. Chemicals, rubber and plastics | 1.05 | 0.997 | 1.811 |
17. Mineral products | 15.08 | 14.802 | 17.658 |
18. Iron and Steel and non-metallic mineral products | − 3.793 | − 3.726 | − 3.531 |
19. Metal products | 8.447 | 8.244 | 10.684 |
20. Transport equipment | 0.505 | 0.476 | 0.923 |
21. Electronic equipment | 15.377 | 15.188 | 17.02 |
22. Machinery and equipment nec. | 12.644 | 12.211 | 15.833 |
23. Miscellaneous manufacturing | 10.474 | 10.335 | 12.171 |
24. Electricity, gas and water supply | − 6.642 | − 6.696 | − 6.192 |
25. Construction | 1.24 | 1.095 | 2.335 |
26. Trade, transport and communication | 2.674 | 2.48 | 3.943 |
27. Financial services | 5.2 | 4.976 | 6.721 |
28. Other services | 0.653 | 0.502 | 1.735 |
Total | 2.011 | 1.88 | 3.18 |