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The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)

Table 7 Sectoral import growth due to tariff simulation and technological upgradation at 2030 compared to BAU 2030 (without USA as TPP member)

From: The impact of Trans-Pacific Partnership agreement on the Canadian economy

Sector

Tariff reduction

Technological upgradation

Scenario 2

Scenario 3

Scenario 4

1. Crops and cereals

2.08

− 7.63

− 7.68

2. Vegetable, fruits and nuts

0.36

− 1.15

− 1.12

3. Other crops

1.78

− 3.65

− 3.69

4. Animal products

7.02

19.7

9.17

5. Forestry

25.64

− 0.26

− 0.26

6. Fishing

0.4

− 8.67

− 9.04

7. Oil and gas

1.19

0.06

0.06

8. Coal and other minerals

2.93

1.08

1.09

9. Vegetable oils and fats

4.11

− 4.19

− 4.23

10. Other food products, beverages and tobacco

5.19

2.06

3.51

11. Textiles and apparel

5.55

2.44

2.63

12. Leather products

4.57

0.3

0.3

13. Wood products

13.36

1.42

1.31

14. Paper products

7.89

0.6

0.59

15. Petroleum and coal products

1.95

− 0.06

− 0.06

16. Chemicals, rubber and plastics

5.86

1.05

1.32

17. Mineral products

7.41

1.19

1.26

18. Iron and Steel and non-metallic mineral products

7.05

1.62

1.58

19. Metal products

9.4

0.72

0.76

20. Transport equipment

3.18

2.45

4.76

21. Electronic equipment

4.59

3.78

4.19

28. Machinery and equipment nec

9.22

5.36

6.83

23. Miscellaneous manufacturing

6.84

1.09

1.15

24. Electricity, gas and water supply

9.34

1.07

1.05

25. Construction

6.25

0.55

0.7

26. Trade, transport and communication

6.57

0.87

1.01

27. Financial services

6.47

1.08

1.2

28. Other services

6.65

1.05

1.86

Total

5.59

1.48

− 0.89