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The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)

Table 4 Full information estimate of ARDL model (2, 1, 2)

From: A time preference measure of the social discount rate for Iran

Variable

Coefficient

Standard error

T-statistics

Panel A: Estimated long-run coefficients (Dep. var. lnF t )

lnYt

0.524

0.098

5.330 [0.000]

\({ \ln }\left( {{\raise0.7ex\hbox{$P$} \!\mathord{\left/ {\vphantom {P {P^{*} }}}\right.\kern-0pt} \!\lower0.7ex\hbox{${P^{*} }$}}} \right)_{t}\)

− 0.265

0.096

− 2.766 [0.013]

Dum

0.333

0.047

7.003 [0.000]

Constant

6.905

1.704

4.052 [0.001]

Panel B: Estimated short-run coefficients (Dep. var. \(\Delta \ln F_{t}\) )

\(\Delta \ln F_{t - 1}\)

− 0.291

0.175

− 1.662 [0.113]

\(\Delta \ln Y_{t}\)

0.298

0.084

3.524 [0.002]

\(\Delta \ln \left( {p/q} \right)_{t}\)

− 0.091

0.045

− 2.013 [0.058]

\(\Delta \ln \left( {p/q} \right)_{t - 1}\)

0.073

0.031

2.314 [0.032]

Dum

0.151

0.042

3.545 [0.002]

ECTt−1

− 0.453

0.122

− 3.701 [0.002]

Panel C: Diagnostic tests

Serial correlation (χ2)

0.029 [0.863]

  

RESET (χ2)

1.463 [0.226]

  

Normality (χ2)

0.227 [0.893]

  

Heteroscedasticity (χ2)

1.823 [0.177]

  
  1. The optimal lags of the ARDL model are selected based on SBC. Bracket represents probability values