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The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)

Table 4 Results of diagnostic tests carried out.

From: Determinants of gross domestic savings in Uganda: an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration

Problem

Test carried out

Null hypothesis

Statistic

Probability value

Conclusion

Serial correlation

Breusch–Godfrey LM Test (BG test)

No serial correlation

1.950 (Chi2(1))

0.1626

Fail to reject the null hypothesis

Heteroscedasticity

Breusch–Pagan/Cook–Weisberg test

Homoscedasticity

0.11 (Chi2(1))

0.7443

Fail to reject the null hypothesis

Model specification

Ramsey RESET test

Model has no omitted variables

0.71 (F(3,15))

0.5573

Fail to reject the null hypothesis

Normality

Jarque–Bera test

Residuals are normally distributed

0.3048 (Chi2(2))

0. 8586

Fail to reject the null hypothesis

Multicollinearity

VIF

 

4.11 (mean VIF)

 

The model does not suffer from multicollinearity

Parameter stability

CUSUM6 and CUSUM squared

Parameters are stable

  

The null hypothesis cannot be rejected at the 5% critical bound (as can be seen in Appendix A)