Skip to main content

The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)

Table 3 Current account balance: financial development (1986–2013)

From: Macroeconomic, institutional and financial determinants of current account balances: a panel data assessment

 

Industrial

High income

Developing

Full sample -

Full sample -

Full sample

Industrial

Africa and Industrial

GDP

.1515

− .0682

− .0088

− .0796

− .1111

− .0582

 

(1.95)*

(− 1.48)

(− .13)

(− 1.50)

(− 1.59)

(− 1.19)

Fiscal balance

− .0195

.1070

.3179

.3212

.1390

.3043

 

(− .12)

(.96)

(3.32)***

(3.45)***

(1.53)

(3.53)***

Terms of trade

.0448

.0156

.1082

.0798

.0574

.0764

 

(1.29)

(1.02)

(5.29)***

(4.61)***

(2.57)**

(4.60)***

Real effective exchange rate

− .0697

− .0625

− .1310

− .1086

− .1102

− .1075

 

(− 1.50)

(− 3.66)***

(− 3.79)***

(− 4.36)***

(− 3.78)***

(− 4.57)***

Trade openness

− .0649

− .0155

− .1762

− .0926

− .0588

− .0893

 

(− 1.37)

(− .74)

(− 4.92)***

(− 3.70)***

(− 2.34)**

(− 3.78)***

Relative income

− 25.2878

− 15.5177

− 177.0909

− 11.7724

− 8.7412

− 12.9486

 

(− 1.98)**

(− 1.67)*

(− 2.72)***

(− .78)

(− .49)

(− 1.25)

Average net crude oil

.0648

.5471

.6198

.6493

.8169

.6431

Export/GDP

(.18)

(2.58)***

(4.31)***

(4.52)***

(3.55)***

(4.53)***

Total private credit/GDP

− .0360

− .0247

− .0556

− .0303

− .0240

− .0319

 

(− 2.96)***

(− 3.88)***

(− 2.01)**

(− 2.92)***

(− 2.67)***

(3.84)***

R-sq

.1308

.1324

.3356

.2754

.1994

.2595

Number of observations

259

494

753

987

752

1246

  1. All variables are used in their first differences. t-statistics in parenthesis. *, **, *** indicate significance at 10%, 5%, 1%, respectively. The estimates for the constants are not shown