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The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)

Table 6 Current account balance: institutional quality—political stability (1996–2013)

From: Macroeconomic, institutional and financial determinants of current account balances: a panel data assessment

 

Industrial

High income

Developing

Full sample -

Full sample -

Full sample

Industrial

Africa and Industrial

GDP

.1797

− .0296

.1082

.01332

− .0337

.0393

 

(2.29)**

(− .60)

(1.31)

(.19)

(− .39)

(.64)

Fiscal balance

− .0623

.1841

.2529

.2674

.1454

.2532

 

(− .36)

(1.48)

(1.85)*

(2.12)**

(1.33)

(2.28)**

Terms of trade

.0372

.0028

.0947

.0650

.0573

.0605

 

(1.04)

(.16)

(4.39)***

(3.36)***

(2.94)***

(3.34)***

Real effective exchange rate

− .0552

− .0398

− .1344

− .1074

− .1091

− .1035

 

(− 1.12)

(− 1.04)

(− 4.32)***

(− 3.35)***

(− 2.71)***

(− 3.78)***

Trade openness

− .0729

− .0113

− .2254

− .1006

− .0677

− .0951

 

(− 1.35)

(− .50)

(− 4.47)***

(− 2.76)***

(− 1.82)*

(− 2.91)***

Relative income

− 29.4922

− 7.6128

− 63.9564

18.5286

16.7302

− .2062

 

(− 2.01)**

(− .82)

(− .60)

(1.26)

(1.29)

(− .02)

Average net crude oil export/GDP

− .0303

.5128

.5694

.6172

.8676

.6048

 

(− .08)

(2.00)**

(3.57)***

(3.88)***

(3.00)***

(3.92)***

Total private credit/GDP

− .0444

− .0265

− .0918

− .0285

− .0262

− .0327

 

(− 3.27)***

(− 3.67)***

(− 2.61)**

(− 2.44)**

(− 2.87)***

(− 2.67)***

Political stability and absence of violence

.2175

− .3655

− 1.3520

− 1.3147

− 2.0465

− 1.1350

 

(.29)

(− .48)

(− 1.44)

(− 1.67)*

(− 2.11)**

(− 1.72)*

R-sq

.1641

.0953

.3621

.2595

.2100

.2380

Number of observations

226

399

447

619

485

845

  1. All variables are used in their first differences. t-statistics in parenthesis. *, **, *** indicate significance at 10%, 5%, 1%, respectively. The estimates for the constants are not shown