The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)
Horizon | Oil supply shock | Oil-specific demand shock | Uncertainty shock | Aggregated demand shock | Clean energy shocks |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Panels A. Policy Uncertainty | |||||
1 | 0.0020 | 4.9049 | 0.0001 | 0.9884 | 94.1046 |
3 | 2.1684 | 7.3321 | 1.3698 | 2.3294 | 86.8004 |
12 | 9.4949 | 16.8234 | 12.4658 | 6.1415 | 55.0743 |
24 | 14.0741 | 16.8633 | 14.4559 | 8.0485 | 46.5581 |
60 | 14.5422 | 18.0255 | 15.0696 | 11.2935 | 41.0692 |
Panels B. Policy Uncertainty—News coverage | |||||
1 | 0.0255 | 3.4635 | 0.0288 | 0.9817 | 95.5006 |
3 | 1.2694 | 5.8991 | 0.4147 | 2.3163 | 90.1005 |
12 | 8.8844 | 17.6646 | 10.4524 | 5.7497 | 57.2490 |
24 | 13.8223 | 17.1484 | 11.3199 | 8.5460 | 49.1633 |
60 | 14.0731 | 17.5457 | 12.0978 | 12.9726 | 43.3108 |
Panels C. Policy Uncertainty—the federal/state/local purchases disagreement measure | |||||
1 | 2.0578 | 5.0070 | 2.6246 | 0.0461 | 90.2645 |
3 | 8.8775 | 8.9108 | 2.6202 | 5.4471 | 74.1443 |
12 | 10.6530 | 19.1127 | 5.6464 | 8.1054 | 56.4825 |
24 | 13.6915 | 18.6774 | 9.9386 | 11.0289 | 46.6636 |
60 | 15.7700 | 18.9833 | 11.3337 | 13.7039 | 40.2091 |
Panels D. Policy Uncertainty—the CPI forecast disagreement measure | |||||
1 | 5.8820 | 4.4537 | 0.3148 | 1.0939 | 88.2556 |
3 | 14.7085 | 4.9218 | 5.9707 | 8.1116 | 66.2873 |
12 | 17.2047 | 19.2427 | 13.5727 | 10.6852 | 39.2948 |
24 | 20.3918 | 18.8068 | 14.0385 | 14.1066 | 32.6562 |
60 | 21.9406 | 19.6839 | 13.4504 | 16.5778 | 28.3473 |
Panels E. Policy Uncertainty—the tax expirations index | |||||
1 | 0.6951 | 3.3805 | 0.0045 | 0.9095 | 95.0104 |
3 | 9.2458 | 6.2880 | 0.3777 | 1.6516 | 82.4369 |
12 | 14.0176 | 12.7905 | 2.5774 | 6.9051 | 63.7095 |
24 | 14.8854 | 14.662 | 8.6815 | 8.4580 | 53.3131 |
60 | 17.5761 | 15.0003 | 9.1604 | 10.7726 | 47.4904 |