Impact of alternative regional trade arrangements on the Ethiopian economy

Journal of Economic Structures

The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)

Table 13 Changes in Ethiopia’s export by destination (US$ Million).

Sectors	Ethiopia export to COMESA				Ethiopia export to non-COMESA
Sectors	Scenario 1	Scenario 2	Scenario 3	Scenario 4	Scenario 1	Scenario 2	Scenario 3	Scenario 4
Grains	0.10	0.11	− 0.28	− 0.21	0.09	0.17	4.54	4.04
VegetablFrut	7.54	7.75	− 17.98	− 5.48	− 0.09	0.08	9.39	8.18
Oilseed	1.48	1.50	0.30	− 0.19	− 0.30	0.26	26.39	23.00
OtherCrops	− 1.43	− 1.35	− 1.13	− 1.52	− 0.19	1.90	98.50	88.93
Livestock	0.78	0.90	− 6.24	− 8.01	− 0.01	0.03	2.65	2.39
ForestFisher	0.17	0.17	0.03	0.00	0.01	− 0.09	1.45	1.56
CoalOilGas	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.39	0.30	6.77	5.48
FoodMnfcs	3.11	3.11	0.90	0.39	0.30	0.24	10.54	9.11
BeverTobaco	0.09	0.09	− 0.03	− 0.03	0.00	0.00	0.20	0.17
TextileAppar	0.29	0.29	0.01	0.08	0.59	0.53	21.21	18.65
Leather	1.84	1.84	− 0.24	0.13	0.97	0.77	29.90	26.65
WoodPaper	0.50	0.50	− 0.08	− 0.12	0.03	0.03	0.42	0.37
PetroChemica	6.47	6.46	0.11	0.73	0.31	0.28	3.53	2.42
BasicMetals	0.03	0.03	− 0.01	0.00	1.29	1.10	29.43	24.40
FabMetalEqu	8.43	8.39	− 0.52	0.73	0.24	0.16	7.62	6.74
MotorVehpar	2.15	2.14	0.33	0.06	0.02	0.01	0.51	0.46
OtherMnfcs	1.40	1.40	0.37	− 0.05	0.09	0.07	2.48	2.20
Services	0.17	0.14	1.51	1.32	5.44	3.23	144.31	125.30
Total	33.12	33.47	− 22.95	− 12.17	9.18	9.07	399.84	350.05