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The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)

Table 14 Changes in Trade balance and output for Ethiopia.

From: Impact of alternative regional trade arrangements on the Ethiopian economy

  Trade balance (US$ million) % change in output
Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Scenario 4 Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Scenario 4
Grains 0.94 1.06 33.12 23.62 0.00 0.10 0.67 − 0.08
VegetablFrut 7.47 7.68 − 16.79 − 3.65 0.16 0.25 − 0.46 − 0.54
Oilseed 1.23 1.68 20.51 16.91 0.25 0.39 6.24 4.83
OtherCrops − 2.02 − 0.23 78.91 67.05 − 0.12 0.03 4.23 3.44
Livestock 0.77 0.88 − 7.03 − 8.42 0.00 0.11 − 0.30 − 0.76
ForestFisher 0.13 0.04 0.93 1.15 0.00 0.06 − 0.02 − 0.24
CoalOilGas 0.03 − 0.09 3.43 0.94 − 0.08 − 0.08 1.60 1.34
FoodMnfcs − 6.72 − 7.21 23.37 − 3.14 − 0.31 − 0.22 0.81 − 1.03
BeverTobaco − 0.21 − 0.24 − 1.65 − 6.30 − 0.05 0.05 − 0.56 − 1.48
TextileAppar − 4.14 − 4.51 − 45.15 − 11.16 − 0.32 − 0.22 − 5.78 − 0.67
Leather 0.76 0.55 23.53 10.22 0.03 0.09 3.56 0.98
WoodPaper − 1.56 − 1.65 3.45 − 4.67 − 0.64 − 0.57 1.82 − 1.68
PetroChemica − 6.17 − 8.57 − 0.99 20.65 − 0.47 − 0.45 − 0.59 1.52
BasicMetals − 0.59 − 1.12 35.10 30.59 0.03 0.00 8.84 7.27
FabMetalEqu 2.07 − 0.77 − 30.22 − 22.96 0.25 0.25 − 0.31 0.25
MotorVehpar 1.98 1.40 8.36 − 41.37 0.70 0.71 4.50 − 7.30
OtherMnfcs − 6.51 − 6.59 5.07 − 9.58 − 1.07 − 1.03 0.75 − 1.52
Services 7.01 3.12 − 94.21 − 5.41 0.00 0.06 0.02 0.01