Fig. 4

Absolute total potential employment effects of a decline in UK import demand for final goods from the EU (no-deal Brexit) by country and industry. Light color: relative small effect, dark color: relative large effect. Based on ranked absolute total (direct and indirect) employment effects by country of a decline in British final goods imports due to tariffs and non-tariff trade costs after a no-deal Brexit derived from input–output analysis. General-equilibrium effects and other relevant channels such as trade diversion are not included. Source: World Input–Output Database, data for 2014, and own calculations