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The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)

Table 11 Potential employment effects of a decline in UK import demand for final goods from the EU (no-deal Brexit) by country and industry (30 most affected country–industry combinations)

From: International trade barriers and regional employment: the case of a no-deal Brexit

No. Country Industry Direct (1000 pers.) Indirect (1000 pers.) Sum (1000 pers.) Tot. Empl. (1000 pers.) Share (%)
1 DEU 20 21.863 5.599 27.462 846 3.246
2 IND 1 0.000 24.232 24.232 253,883 0.010
3 CHN 1 0.000 15.233 15.233 175,119 0.009
4 DEU 50 0.259 14.738 14.997 3,010 0.498
5 POL 1 2.505 12.482 14.987 1,640 0.914
6 DEU 29 6.997 7.271 14.268 1,878 0.760
7 DEU 5 9.557 2.910 12.466 927 1.345
8 CHN 29 0.000 11.966 11.966 79,834 0.015
9 IRL 1 10.196 0.868 11.064 80 13.830
10 BRA 1 0.000 10.959 10.959 13,128 0.083
11 IDN 1 0.000 10.363 10.363 40,597 0.026
12 POL 30 6.107 4.164 10.271 1,430 0.718
13 FRA 29 5.449 4.243 9.691 1,110 0.873
14 ESP 1 5.340 3.983 9.324 667 1.398
15 ITA 6 5.691 3.475 9.166 515 1.780
16 IRL 5 8.411 0.109 8.521 54 15.779
17 FRA 50 0.814 7.520 8.334 2,059 0.405
18 FRA 1 1.705 6.500 8.205 715 1.148
19 DEU 28 0.979 7.121 8.100 824 0.983
20 FRA 5 6.047 2.027 8.074 607 1.330
21 USA 50 0.000 7.792 7.792 12,808 0.061
22 CHN 6 0.000 7.481 7.481 32,739 0.023
23 ITA 1 1.192 6.255 7.447 839 0.888
24 DEU 16 1.213 6.214 7.427 901 0.824
25 DEU 1 1.244 6.111 7.355 606 1.214
26 IND 6 0.000 7.291 7.291 21,927 0.033
27 DEU 30 0.629 6.569 7.199 3,209 0.224
28 DEU 19 3.672 3.496 7.168 1,129 0.635
29 POL 5 4.797 2.149 6.946 541 1.284
30 DEU 45 0.028 6.233 6.261 1,287 0.487
  1. Ordered by absolute employment effect. Source: World Input–Output Database, data for 2014, own calculations