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The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)

Table 11 Potential employment effects of a decline in UK import demand for final goods from the EU (no-deal Brexit) by country and industry (30 most affected country–industry combinations)

From: International trade barriers and regional employment: the case of a no-deal Brexit

No.

Country

Industry

Direct (1000 pers.)

Indirect (1000 pers.)

Sum (1000 pers.)

Tot. Empl. (1000 pers.)

Share (%)

1

DEU

20

21.863

5.599

27.462

846

3.246

2

IND

1

0.000

24.232

24.232

253,883

0.010

3

CHN

1

0.000

15.233

15.233

175,119

0.009

4

DEU

50

0.259

14.738

14.997

3,010

0.498

5

POL

1

2.505

12.482

14.987

1,640

0.914

6

DEU

29

6.997

7.271

14.268

1,878

0.760

7

DEU

5

9.557

2.910

12.466

927

1.345

8

CHN

29

0.000

11.966

11.966

79,834

0.015

9

IRL

1

10.196

0.868

11.064

80

13.830

10

BRA

1

0.000

10.959

10.959

13,128

0.083

11

IDN

1

0.000

10.363

10.363

40,597

0.026

12

POL

30

6.107

4.164

10.271

1,430

0.718

13

FRA

29

5.449

4.243

9.691

1,110

0.873

14

ESP

1

5.340

3.983

9.324

667

1.398

15

ITA

6

5.691

3.475

9.166

515

1.780

16

IRL

5

8.411

0.109

8.521

54

15.779

17

FRA

50

0.814

7.520

8.334

2,059

0.405

18

FRA

1

1.705

6.500

8.205

715

1.148

19

DEU

28

0.979

7.121

8.100

824

0.983

20

FRA

5

6.047

2.027

8.074

607

1.330

21

USA

50

0.000

7.792

7.792

12,808

0.061

22

CHN

6

0.000

7.481

7.481

32,739

0.023

23

ITA

1

1.192

6.255

7.447

839

0.888

24

DEU

16

1.213

6.214

7.427

901

0.824

25

DEU

1

1.244

6.111

7.355

606

1.214

26

IND

6

0.000

7.291

7.291

21,927

0.033

27

DEU

30

0.629

6.569

7.199

3,209

0.224

28

DEU

19

3.672

3.496

7.168

1,129

0.635

29

POL

5

4.797

2.149

6.946

541

1.284

30

DEU

45

0.028

6.233

6.261

1,287

0.487

  1. Ordered by absolute employment effect. Source: World Input–Output Database, data for 2014, own calculations