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The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)

Table 2 Results of GARCH model for Eqs. (3), (4) and (5)

From: Herd behaviour in foreign exchange market

\({CSAD}_{t }= \alpha + {\gamma }_{1 }\left|{R}_{m,t}\right|+ {\gamma }_{2}\left({R}_{m,t}^{2}\right)+ {\varepsilon }_{t}\)

\({CSAD}_{t}^{UP} = \alpha + {\gamma }_{1}^{UP}\left|{R}_{m,t}^{UP}\right|+{\gamma }_{2}^{UP}{\left({R}_{m,t}^{UP}\right)}^{2}+ {\varepsilon }_{t}\)

\({CSAD}_{t}^{DOWN} = \alpha + {\gamma }_{1}^{DOWN}\left|{R}_{m,t}^{DOWN}\right|+{\gamma }_{2}^{DOWN}{\left({R}_{m,t}^{DOWN}\right)}^{2}+ {\varepsilon }_{t}\)

\(\boldsymbol{\alpha }\)

\({{\varvec{\gamma}}}_{1}\)

\({{\varvec{\gamma}}}_{2}\)

\(\boldsymbol{\alpha }\)

\({{\varvec{\gamma}}}_{1}^{{\varvec{U}}{\varvec{P}}}\)

\({{\varvec{\gamma}}}_{2}^{{\varvec{U}}{\varvec{P}}}\)

\(\boldsymbol{\alpha }\)

\({{\varvec{\gamma}}}_{1}^{{\varvec{D}}{\varvec{O}}{\varvec{W}}{\varvec{N}}}\)

\({{\varvec{\gamma}}}_{2}^{{\varvec{D}}{\varvec{O}}{\varvec{W}}{\varvec{N}}}\)

0.0018

0.1879

−3.0180

−0.0051

0.4137

−0.3487

.0015

0.3658

−8.1781

(0.000)***

(0.000)***

(0.000)***

0.917

(0.000)***

(0.000)***

(0.000)***

(0.000)***

(0.000)***

ARCH

(lag 1)

 

GARCH (lag 1)

ARCH (lag 1)

 

GARCH

(lag 1)

ARCH

(lag 1)

 

GARCH (lag 1)

0.3244

 

−0.0183

0.0478

 

−1.7723

0.6469

 

0.4166

(0.000)***

 

0.712

0.240

 

(0.000)***

(0.000)***

 

0.030

Obs

Wald

chi2 (2)

Prob > F

Obs

Wald

chi2 (2)

Prob > F

Obs

Wald

chi2 (2)

Prob > F

1303

498.19

0.0000

673

69.84

0.0000

630

293.89

0.0000

  1. *, **, *** represent significance of coefficients at 10%, 5% and 1% level