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The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)

Table 5 Undervaluation and service sector performance.

From: Real exchange rate undervaluation, regional integration and services sector performance: evidence from the East African Community

 

(1)

PMG-ARDL

(2)

CS-ARDL

Speed of adjustment

 ECT

− 0.346***

(0.131)

− 0.772**

(0.334)

Longrun

 ln Capital

0.532***

(0.116)

0.601***

(0.115)

 ln Labor

− 0.279***

(0.083)

− 0.003**

(0.308)

 Growth

− 0.001

(0.003)

− 0.010

(0.016)

 Inflation

− 0.006***

(0.002)

− 0.004***

(0.001)

 ln Undervaluation

0.627***

(0.178)

0.857***

(0.464)

Shortrun

 ln Capital

− 0.052

(0.040)

− 0.417***

(0.131)

 ln Labor

0.088

(0.170)

0.223

(0.221)

 Growth

− 0.001

(0.002)

− 0.003

(0.002)

 Inflation

0.001**

(0.001)

0.002**

(0.001)

 ln Undervaluation

− 0.130

(0.152)

− 0.139

(0.760)

Constant

0.872***

(0.338)

0.214

(1.169)

Observations

104

 

104

 

Diagnostic tests

 Hausman test (χ2)

5.888

[0.318]

 Wooldridge autocorrelation test

18.566 [0.230]

   

 Normality test

3.16 [0.2060]

 Heteroskedasticity

20.62 [0.4000]

  1. Model (1) is the baseline model. The Hausman test was carried out to choose between Mean Group ARDL and PMG-ARDL, and the latter was preferred. Long-run and shortrun coefficients for PMG-ARDL (1 0 0 0 0) with lags selected based on SIC; Standard errors in parentheses
  2. ***p < 0.01
  3. **p < 0.05
  4. *p < 0.1; ARDL (1 0 0 0 0)