The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)
From: Implications of AI innovation on economic growth: a panel data study
Dependent Variable: Real GDP growth rate per capita (5-year average) | (1) OLS | (2) FE | (3) AH | (4) GMM | (5) OLS | (6) FE | (7) AH | (8) GMM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real GDP growth rate per capita (t − 1) | − 0.003 (0.052) | − 0.002 (0.030) | 0.048* (0.029) | − 0.104 (0.084) | 0.030 (0.051) | − 0.072 (0.045) | − 0.011 (0.029) | 0.089 (0.060) |
Log of real GDP per capita (t − 1) | − 0.227 (0.233) | − 2.208*** (0.660) | − 2.002*** (0.574) | − 2.395** (1.068) | 0.173** (0.070) | 0.182 (0.114) | 0.172 (0.120) | 0.168 (0.573) |
Log of AI patents per million people | 0.102 (0.065) | 0.277*** (0.083) | 0.252** (0.104) | 0.769** (0.346) | – | – | – | – |
Log of total patents per million people | – | – | – | – | − 0.408** (0.163) | − 3.309*** (0.747) | − 2.996*** (0.536) | − 1.395 (1.669) |
Population growth rate | − 0.589*** (0.104) | − 0.599*** (0.126) | − 0.619*** (0.104) | − 0.468 (0.355) | − 0.303** (0.142) | − 0.241 (0.225) | − 0.256** (0.116) | − 0.233 (0.945) |
Gross capital formation growth rate (per capita) | 0.134*** (0.046) | 0.124** (0.048) | 0.128*** (0.013) | 0.056 (0.059) | 0.121*** (0.032) | 0.096*** (0.031) | 0.099*** (0.013) | 0.237** (0.114) |
Government expenditure growth rate (per capita) | 0.250*** (0.050) | 0.229*** (0.047) | 0.224*** (0.031) | 0.455** (0.203) | 0.190*** (0.035) | 0.138*** (0.034) | 0.138*** (0.022) | 0.062 (0.158) |
Trade openness (5-year average) | 0.003** (0.002) | 0.009* (0.005) | 0.009* (0.005) | 0.022** (0.009) | 0.003*** (0.001) | 0.012** (0.006) | 0.012*** (0.004) | 0.017 (0.012) |
Human capital index growth rate | − 0.040 (0.122) | − 0.073 (0.152) | − 0.061 (0.147) | − 0.173 (0.707) | 0.055 (0.139) | − 0.059 (0.210) | − 0.043 (0.194) | 0.208 (0.624) |
Inflation (5-year average) | 0.055 (0.035) | 0.048 (0.034) | 0.042* (0.022) | 0.025 (0.054) | 0.061** (0.027) | 0.066** (0.028) | 0.059** (0.024) | − 0.062 (0.195) |
Internet users growth rate (5-year average) | 0.006 (0.006) | 0.001 (0.005) | 0.000 (0.007) | 0.016 (0.027) | 0.008 (0.006) | 0.008 (0.006) | 0.007 (0.005) | − 0.014 (0.035) |
Advanced economy (dummy) | − 0.287 (0.327) | 0.690 (0.570) | 0.541 (0.646) | 2.825** (1.113) | 0.379 (0.713) | 3.995 (2.517) | 3.555* (2.054) | 4.247 (7.260) |
Advanced × Log of AI patents per million people | − 0.054 (0.073) | − 0.270* (0.156) | − 0.233* (0.127) | − 1.043*** (0.345) | – | – | – | – |
Advanced × Log of total patents per million people | – | – | – | – | − 0.084 (0.079) | − 0.516* (0.294) | − 0.468** (0.238) | − 0.566 (0.908) |
Constant | 3.095* (1.806) | 20.597*** (5.951) | – | 20.330** (9.692) | 3.570*** (1.136) | 28.720*** (6.496) | – | 11.410 (14.600) |
Time dummies | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Number of instruments | – | – | – | 55 | – | – | – | 27 |
Sargan-Hansen test (p-value) | – | – | – | 0.405 | – | – | – | 0.149 |
AR(1) (p-value) | – | – | – | 0.003 | – | – | – | 0.002 |
AR(2) (p-value) | – | – | – | 0.741 | – | – | – | 0.659 |
N | 463 | 463 | 463 | 463 | 676 | 676 | 676 | 676 |
n | 119 | 119 | 119 | 119 | 143 | 143 | 143 | 143 |