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The Official Journal of the Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS)

Table 6 Effect of patents on economic growth, advanced economies

From: Implications of AI innovation on economic growth: a panel data study

Dependent Variable:

Real GDP growth rate per capita (5-year average)

(1)

OLS

(2)

FE

(3)

AH

(4)

GMM

(5)

OLS

(6)

FE

(7)

AH

(8)

GMM

Real GDP growth rate per capita (t − 1)

0.034 (0.054)

− 0.065 (0.054)

− 0.023 (0.045)

− 0.040 (0.056)

0.064 (0.065)

− 0.059 (0.042)

− 0.007 (0.059)

− 0.070 (0.110)

Log of real GDP per capita (t − 1)

− 0.618** (0.298)

− 2.159** (0.880)

− 1.999*** (0.587)

− 2.855* (1.611)

− 0.857** (0.360)

− 3.376*** (0.996)

− 3.121*** (0.609)

− 4.001 (3.422)

Log of AI patents per million people

0.223*** (0.086)

0.367*** (0.116)

0.354*** (0.096)

0.299** (0.121)

–

–

–

–

Log of total patents per million people

–

–

–

–

0.250** (0.105)

0.151 (0.146)

0.143 (0.149)

0.010 (0.432)

Population growth rate

− 0.295** (0.151)

− 0.317 (0.234)

− 0.319*** (0.107)

− 0.025 (0.249)

− 0.212 (0.148)

− 0.347** (0.165)

− 0.358** (0.174)

0.19 (0.790)

Gross capital formation growth rate (per capita)

0.218*** (0.031)

0.205*** (0.032)

0.211*** (0.017)

0.248*** (0.040)

0.226*** (0.036)

0.205*** (0.040)

0.209*** (0.019)

0.167** (0.079)

Government expenditure growth rate (per capita)

0.359*** (0.062)

0.343*** (0.059)

0.337*** (0.039)

0.265** (0.120)

0.203*** (0.074)

0.206*** (0.068)

0.200*** (0.055)

− 0.0391 (0.189)

Trade openness (5-year average)

0.004** (0.001)

− 0.002 (0.004)

− 0.002 (0.004)

0.002 (0.006)

0.004*** (0.002)

0.005 (0.005)

0.005 (0.004)

0.001 (0.012)

Human capital index growth rate

0.091 (0.260)

− 0.073 (0.219)

− 0.071 (0.209)

− 0.547 (0.477)

− 0.002 (0.188)

− 0.029 (0.276)

− 0.039 (0.289)

1.026 (1.840)

Inflation (5-year average)

− 0.066*** (0.024)

− 0.063*** (0.023)

− 0.070*** (0.020)

− 0.099 (0.063)

− 0.086** (0.044)

− 0.078* (0.044)

− 0.087*** (0.031)

− 0.009 (0.207)

Constant

5.423**

21.465**

–

28.858*

6.829**

34.180***

–

42.350

 

(2.706)

(9.233)

–

(16.954)

(2.799)

(11.080)

–

(34.470)

Time dummies

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Number of instruments

–

–

–

42

–

–

–

28

Sargan-Hansen overidentification test (p-value)

–

–

–

0.750

–

–

–

0.683

AR(1) (p-value)

–

–

–

0.005

–

–

–

0.077

AR(2) (p-value)

–

–

–

0.766

–

–

–

0.967

N

299

299

299

299

352

352

352

352

n

53

53

53

53

53

53

53

53

  1. ***Significant at 1% level; **significant at 5% level; *significant at 10% level. Robust (OLS, FE, GMM) and bootstrapped (AH) standard errors are enclosed in parentheses. Anderson-Hsiao estimation does not report constant term. Values appearing in the table are based on the author’s calculation using the datasets available from the Google Patents Public Data, the Penn World Table, the World Bank Development Indicators, and the United Nations National Accounts—Analysis of Main Aggregates